By Tom Kingsley, Global Head of Sales and Gabriel Kan, Quantitative Analyst at Bloomberg Tradebook
How much value does a buy side trader add to the investment process? According to a recent Bloomberg Tradebook survey of buy-side clients, more than half of respondents (56%) evaluate trader performance using the classic TCA vs benchmark prices. However, this simple benchmarking method does not properly represent the risk that a trader is taking to achieve the return. One popular evaluation alternative is to compare the Sharpe ratios; the average performance divided by the standard deviation. However, an inefficiency of the Sharpe ratio calculation is that it does not account for order profiling, meaning a trader may appear to perform better simply because he is in an easy market. A buy-side trader should be rewarded, however, by how he performs relative to the difficulty of the orders. Thus, we have identified three components that are important to evaluate execution performance:
1. Performance measure
2. Risk measure
3. Order profiling
We propose a new approach to combine the three criteria in a united framework (Figure 1). This approach is a parallel analogy to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) that is commonly used to evaluate investment alpha. First, we select a benchmark and calculate performance of each order as standard TCA. Then we set a so-called “index strategy” and evaluate its performance for each order. Finally, we run a regression on the order performance vs the index performance to obtain alpha and beta. Alpha will be the net value added after risk adjustment, and beta is a measure of risk with respect to the index strategy.
We calculate the index strategy performance as the peer average (Figure 2). For each of our own trades, we consider peer orders with a similar order profile in the last 30 days. Then the index performance is calculated as the average in the peer group. Figure 3 illustrates the time series of the peer average together with individual orders. The idea of this approach is to reward traders who outperform in a tough market, and penalise those who underperform in an easy market.
Table 2 shows the results by running the alpha-beta model on Hong Kong orders in 2015. After the risk adjustment, B-Smart, a dynamic liquidity seeking strategy, provides the best performance. B-Smart also takes the most risk across the strategies. On the other hand, VWAP strategy gives the lowest alpha and almost zero beta. This suggests that a static VWAP strategy is not taking much risk but does not add much value either.
Performance, risk and order profiling are the essential elements to evaluate execution performance. The proposed alpha-beta approach is a unified framework to account for the three elements at the same time.
While buy-side traders are equipped with different trading strategies and exposed to different market conditions, the new approach attempts to provide a consistent evaluation method across buy-side traders and desks.
We’d love to hear your feedback on this article. Please click here