As the regulatory juggernaut gathers pace, Alexander Neil, Head of Equity and Derivatives Trading at EFG Bank examines the issues behind the tape, and what the buy-side wants.
Many of my buy-side peers have given up hope on a consolidated tape (CT), but the success of a CT is absolutely paramount now, even more so than it was a few years ago. Not just for industry insiders, but for politicians and the outside world to be shown that these can be transparent markets and that we are not penalised by misguided efforts to force volume onto lit markets, abolish dark pools or volume-enhancing factions such as certain HFT activities. In such a low-volume, low-commission environment I feel the stakes are especially high to get this right from the first day, and not let it drag on and into MiFID III . It shouldn’t be this hard to track trades in Europe and it’s funny to think that whilst we’ve seen a real race to zero in pre-trade latency, it feels like the post-trade space is being drawn out over years!
The Holy Grail is a ‘quality’ tape of record at ‘reasonable cost’. But what is a fair price for market data? Is it really something that can be left to market forces, or is it one of those things that should be regulated like electricity prices. After all, there are social responsibility aspects to market data, as ultimately higher costs for the buy-side are implicitly passed on to the broader (investing) public.
There were initially three routes that the European Commission (EC) wanted to take us down. The first route was to employ the same model as they did for execution and let the invisible hand of the market find the best solution and pricing through healthy competition. The second option was for a prescribed non-profit seeking entity to manage the CT, and the third option would be a public tender with just one winner. The EC seems to be leaning towards the fully commercial approach, and it has set the stage for a basic workflow where APAs (approved publication arrangements) collect and pass on the data to Consolidated Tape Provider(s) (CTP). But, if market forces alone could find a compromise between cost and implementation, we would have an affordable and reliable European Consolidated Tape (ECT) in place already, and MiFID II could instead concentrate on new problems.
So my first concern with the purely commercial approach is that so far, it hasn’t worked; incumbent exchanges are still charging pre-MiFID levels for their data (despite, or indeed because of, their diminished market share in execution), and the only real effort to break the stalemate (namely, the MTFs throwing down the gauntlet) will end up just penalising the buy-side more in the short-term. If the regulator doesn’t address data pricing head on, the buy-side may well end up suffering the effects of a scorched-earth move (wasn’t ESMA granted more powers than its predecessor CESR after all?).
Industry Initiatives
However, it’s not all bad. The COBA Project has recently announced a proposal which promises to address these commercial obstacles and has initial support from exchanges and other venues which contribute more than 50% of total turnover. Their solution establishes a new commercial model for Consolidated Tape data which lowers the cost and incorporates the best practices recommendations developed by FPL and other industry working groups. The best practices provide details on how trade condition flags should be normalised thereby enabling consolidation of trade data across exchanges, MTFs, OTC and even BOAT. FPL’s best practices recommendations also bring together wide representation from across the industry, and has been concentrating on data standardisation (including timestamp synchronisation and a clear distinction between execution times stamps and reporting time stamps).
The Coba Project is spearheaded by two former exchange and MTF people, and seems to be the most ambitious in terms of setting a deadline (Q2 ’13). For their sake I would like to see that good work recognised, but the EC has not officially endorsed them and I see this as one of the main failings so far. Without this endorsement or intervention, I worry that the whole effort will run out of steam. And if that happens (if the regulator doesn’t give the industry a nudge) I worry it will ironically signal the failure of the freemarket approach and the regulator will have to make an embarrassing U-turn and go for the prescribed, utility model. Remember the case of BOA T, which had the potential to become an ECT, but it perhaps wasn’t endorsed enough.
So we’re in a position where the exchanges and data vendors are rushing to try and come to a mutually beneficial solution BEFORE the regulator steps in and forces a US-style consolidated tape, and by doing so, potentially remove the commercial benefits for exchanges and vendors.
Being a CTP in itself will be a tough business though, and I wonder if there’s such a thing as a commercially-viable CTP proposition: Not only will they operate in a highly regulated business, but a few years down the line there’s the possibility that Europe goes the same way as the US and starts looking at moving away from a CT and instead getting direct fees from the exchanges (a sort of parallel industry, not quite direct competition). Not only that, but because under current proposals their product will be free after 15 minutes, I expect more investors might just accept a 15 minute lag and get the data for free.